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Methodology

We calculate every hour of the year

Our approach rests on two tools: a digital model of the facility for all 8,760 hours of the year, and the Five Case Model for justifying the project. The first gives accurate numbers; the second turns them into a solution that can be financed and delivered.

01

8,760-hour digital model (Digital Twin)

What it is. A digital copy of how the facility works: an hourly model of energy consumption, generation and storage for all 8,760 hours of the year — instead of averaged annual figures.

What the bill consists of. An electricity bill has four parts, and each changes by its own rules:

  • the market price of energy — changes every hour;
  • the delivery tariff;
  • supplier services;
  • the consequences of your own consumption profile.

We determine and record all four parts for each of the 8,760 hours — only then is modelling possible. We show separately which of them the client can influence.

Why it matters. Averages hide the critical hours: no wind or sun, peak load, grid constraints. These hours define the real economics of a project, not the annual total.

What it gives.

  • An accurate cash-flow forecast instead of rough estimates.
  • Comparison of options: own consumption, selling energy to the market, storing it and selling at more expensive hours.
  • The same basis both for reviewing someone else's project and for creating your own.
Hourly view

The price of an hour varies twenty-six-fold

Heat map of average day-ahead market prices by hour of the day and month, August 2025 — July 2026

Average day-ahead market electricity price for each hour of the day and each month, August 2025 — July 2026. 

02

Five Case Model

A project justification standard developed by HM Treasury (UK). We use it as the structure for pre-investment justification: every solution is checked from five sides.

  • Strategic case — is the project needed, and does it match the goals of the community or company.
  • Economic case — comparison of options, including the "do nothing" option, and the benefit of each.
  • Commercial case — can a deal be made: who supplies what, under which contracts.
  • Financial case — how much the project costs, where the money comes from and whether it is enough.
  • Management case — who delivers the project and according to which plan.

Banks, international financial institutions and donors understand this structure: they get answers to their questions in the order they are used to.

How the two tools work together

The 8,760-hour digital model provides the numbers. The Five Case Model turns them into a justification on which a community council, an investment committee or a bank makes its decision.

How we apply it in consulting
Contacts
Phone +380 68 833 7309 Email info@cossackenergy.com
Address 24 Kyivska St, Sofiivska Borshchahivka, 08131, Ukraine